Exploring a potential trade for Chris Archer

in Here is your first Forum Mon Dec 18, 2017 9:44 am
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The Cardinals are searching for an impact bat. Chris Archer is a pitcher and not an impact bat. On the surface, pursuing Archer doesn’t appear to fulfill the Cardinals stated needs. If we remove bat from the equation above and limit the Cardinals search to impact, then Chris Archer most definitely applies. He might be the best player currently available, and despite the Cardinals rotation looking fairly set, he <a href="http://www.authenticnhlmapleleafsshop.com/james-van-riemsdyk-jersey-c-1_10.html">http://www.authenticnhlmapleleafsshop.com/james-van-riemsdyk-jersey-c-1_10.html</a> would make a big difference on the outlook for the Cardinals this season.
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As for whether he would be an upgrade, Chris Archer has <a href="http://www.bebekmar.com/jack-lambert-jersey-c-1_65.html">Jack Lambert Authentic Jersey</a> exceeded 200 innings in each of the <a href="http://www.canucksnhlprosale.com/henrik-sedin-jersey-c-1_13.html">http://www.canucksnhlprosale.com/henrik-sedin-jersey-c-1_13.html</a> last three years. His 4.6 WAR last season was <a href="http://www.eaglesproshops.com/11-carson-wentz-jersey-c-2_13.html">http://www.eaglesproshops.com/11-carson-wentz-jersey-c-2_13.html</a> 10th among pitchers, and his 13 wins over the <a href="http://www.authenticraiderssale.com/shop-by-players-amari-cooper-jersey-c-2_7.html">Amari Cooper Jersey Womens</a> last three seasons is bettered by only seven pitchers: Clayton Kershaw, Chris Sale, Max Scherzer, Corey Kluber, Jake Arrieta, Jose Quintana, and Zach Greinke. Only Archer, Sale and Quintana will play next season under the age of 30.
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His ERA was 4.07, which in this hyped up offensive era playing in the AL East is still above-average, but his FIP was 3.40 <a href="http://www.bruinsnhlprostore.com/david-krejci-jersey-c-1_29.html">http://www.bruinsnhlprostore.com/david-krejci-jersey-c-1_29.html</a> and a better indication of his outlook going forward. Projections agree as Steamer gives Archer a 3.43 ERA and 4.3 WAR for next season. If you look at his Baseball-Reference WAR of 1.2 last season, it might give you pause. Baseball-Reference <a href="http://www.pattedsfrc.com/brandin-cooks-jersey-c-1_6.html">Brandin Cooks Jersey Womens</a> uses runs allowed and then makes an adjustment based on team defense. The Rays defense was overall very good causing a negative adjustment of nearly a win.

Archer did not actually see the benefits of this good defense as seen by his .325 BABIP, about 30 points over his career average, a LOB% lower than his career average, and an xwOBA of .292, which is 20 points lower than his actual wOBA of .311. Archer strikes out 29% of batters and walks just 7% pitching against the designated <a href="http://www.seahawksproshops.com/3-russell-wilson-jersey-c-2_11.html">Authentic Russell Wilson Jersey</a> hitter. He is an ace, and a rotation fronted by Archer and Carlos Martinez would be tough for any team to match.

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